Andre Chelhot

Andre Chelhot

The Mirage of a Stable US Unemployment Rate

The Recession Call

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Andre Chelhot
Sep 08, 2025
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The headline unemployment rate in the United States has looked remarkably stable in recent months. At 4.3 percent, it gives the impression of a labour market holding firm in the face of tighter monetary policy and weaker activity. Yet the stability is deceptive. It does not reflect strength in employment; it reflects structural changes in labour supply …

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